COVID-19 Forever Changes the U.S. and the World

There is an old maxim: whatever you have thought, others have thought; whatever you have done, others have done. The effect of COVID-19 has forever altered our look at the world.

The first thing any new disease does is to expose weaknesses in the health system. When EBOLA came to the U.S. there was a temporary scare because of the uncertainty of what would happen. What did happen is those with EBOLA were immediately isolated and quarantined until the disease passed. As it worked out, only a very few people got this disease and most of the rest of us put that outbreak in the back of our minds, to our own detriment.

In May 2018 the Centers for Disease Control warned of the outbreak of COVID-19, although at the time it had not reared its ugly head. How did they know? The disease was discovered in bats in that portion of China where the outbreak started. But governments around the world, certainly the industrialized nations, did not listen to the warning scientists. Why cause a panic they asked.

Ever wonder why it is named COVID-19? Simple, this is not the first iteration of this disease, both SARS and MERS are versions of the disease. We knew in 2002 we had a highly contagious disease on our hands but our governments, around the world, chose to ignore the early warnings. Why? Those cases were confined and not allowed to spread. They also we not nearly as contagious as what we have now. Sadly, in early February when warned of an impending U.S. pandemic, our President chose to politicize it and called it “a Democratic hoax.”

But here we are, most small businesses closed, large corporations have laid off hundreds of thousands, and people are dying by the hundreds each day. May Trump’s foolish delay was a blessing in disguise. It has made all Americans keenly aware of just how vulnerable we are in every aspect of our daily lives. As a nation we will probably do a better job of washing our hands and being cautious around sick people.

But then there is the heavy downside. Trump’s $2.2 trillion stimulus is supposed to help individual Americans and small businesses, as well as some large ones, to bridge the gap between shut down and restarting. But there are two facts our nation’s leaders refuse to talk about. The first is many small businesses will not survive, Probably some of the intermediate sized companies too. The large corporations that have laid off hundreds of thousands of workers will probably not bring back all those employees for a long time, if ever.

The stock market tanked and then settled. But once the first quarter earnings are published, already skittish investors will likely engage in another large sell off. Corporate American will find itself greatly devalued and its ability to borrow reduced. Many economists have predicted a deep recession, and possibly we are looking at unemployment rates that challenge those of the Great Depression. If the U.S. goes into a deep recession it means the rest of the world will be doing the same.

Individual Americans are in line to receive a $1200 check from the government to help them. But the reality for most Americans is that that $1200 will barely cover rent or not be enough. Most Americans do not have a cash reserve to fall back upon. It won’t be long before news programs are reporting on the large amount of defaults among average Americans as they cannot pay their mortgage, their credit cards bills, because they are so cash strapped that they can only buy food and medicine. Of course there are the most unfortunate who will be forced to choose between food and medicine. This means that a single $1200 payment does not come close to meeting the needs of most Americans.

We are just one nation in both a world health crisis and a world economic crisis. Our best hope is that many of the restrictions can be either lifted or modified by May 1. Social distancing would still be enforced but in a modified version. That is, people would be allowed to return to work places where a six-foot separation can be managed. Non-essential businesses would be allowed to reopen but again with the six-foot separation dictum. This will take some good planning but it is absolutely something which lawmakers, U.S. House and Senate, can figure out. A starting point is to have enough tests available that returning works would be tested prior to being allowed back into the workforce.

Unforeseen Positive Effects of COVID-19

COVID-19 has interrupted our normal activities in ways no one could have seen. One of our most sacred institutions, church/temple/mosque, have closed leaving us to finding a service on-line or just relying upon our experience with our particular faith. Many people have been told to not leave their homes, which, except for bad snowstorms and hurricanes, you never see.

Americans are indeed freaked out about COVID-19. They have raided food stores the likes of which has never been seen in the U.S. And some of their favorite haunts have either been closed by order of the city or because the business’s owner simply cannot afford to support a small number of people using his services.

My wife, who works as the bursar for one of Boston’s major educational institutions, has been working from home for over a week now. And this work from home has reached into many businesses, who formally did not use telecommuting or used it sparingly, to have most of their workforce telecommute.

I have been working in public education for over 10 years now in the k-12 public schools. These schools have slowly been computerizing and now most, at least in my area, use something called “Google Classroom” regularly for their students. Teachers can transmit assignments and have them turned in via this method. But it has also shown the shortcoming in this type of education. Students can ask questions via email but this method can be very slow. What needs to happen, and maybe some school districts are figuring out, is how to have students join in on a teleconference. I have no doubt this will be accomplish, necessity always precedes invention.

Nationally, we are seeing how a disease that was literally on the opposite side of the globe can quickly find its way to our shores and spread at an unnerving speed. The shortcoming of our health system have become painfully obvious. Most, if not all, hospitals are simply not prepared for a pandemic. But they are learning what they need to do. Worse, our country fell flat on its face in having enough test kits and test facilities for those who are possibly or probably infected. That too is changing and is likely to remain changed.

But in that realm of public health there is one aspect for which we do not, yet, have a response. When the health providers themselves become sick and shortages of personnel arises, what then? There simply are not enough trained technicians to handle a large influx of people requiring respirators and someone to monitor them. I suspect this shortfall will be covered by cross educating other technicians in this field.

The most important thing COVID-19 has done for us is to make visible all our shortcomings and is forcing us to address them. This virus will pass into history eventually, they always do, but when this particular one does we will have a host of new data that should forever improve our health system, our food distribution systems, our working situations, and many other areas. And that is always a good thing.

My Peculiar (?) Version of Alcoholism

What follows is a true story and solely my experience. Alcoholism does not run in my family. My parents were not alcoholics, my sister isn’t, but I am not sure about my brother, probably not though. The only person in my extended family who definitely was one was my favorite cousin. And he was that long before I took my first drink.

Just a tiny bit of background. From a young age, my mother would allow me to take a sip of the wine she had set out for my father for when he got home from work. It was love at first sip and I sipped for many many years. I once heard a fellow share at a meeting that the legal age for drinking in South Boston was 12. He was joking, of course, but he was putting a date on the beginning of his drinking career and I have heard a lot of people put similar dates on their drinking careers. But for me, my first drink happened at age 19 at the Fort Wolters (TX) officers’ club. And it was not just one drink. That would have been too easy. No, I went through 23 drinks, all but one of the 7 and 7 variety. Needless to say I was blackout drunk. And a little later that evening I made a total fool out of myself back at the barracks where I managed to fall completely down the barracks stairs from the 2nd floor to the first and then tumble into the latrine there hitting my head hard on the concrete floor. A number of my mates rush to see if I hadn’t killed myself.

And that was the last drink I took until January of the following year, 1969. I was stationed in Korea in what was ostensibly a war zone. In those days Korea was a very lonely place for a person who did not make friends easily. I discovered a club called the USOM (United States Overseas Mission) Club. I don’t know what their mission was but it was there that I took up drinking straight shots of rum. A very fast, cheap, drunk that was. In those days it was rare that a military person had to pay more than 25 cents for a drink of hard alcohol. After $3 you could be really drunk. Many was the night I did exactly that.

As an aside, for now, I entered a contest called “The Miller Man Contest” whose first prize was R&R in Hawaii. I entered it and immediately forgot all about it.

When I returned to the U.S. in December 1969 I had no thought of drinking. My father died almost exactly one month later, January 24, 1970. A month later, while I was suffering from a particularly bad case of the flu, there came a knock at the side door. Upon answering it the man on the other side asked, “Where do you want it?”

“Where do I want what?”

“Twelve cases of Miller beer.” It seems I had won an alternate prize. Curiously, at that moment I did not care for beer and suddenly I had 12 cases of it! I did sell off over half of it but I also gain a taste for it. But there was no getting drunk. In fact, between then and October of that year, I barely had anything to drink at all. October 1970 is when I went back into the army and found myself stationed in Italy. I never drank every day in Italy but when I did, it was always for the same two reasons. I either wanted to escape reality or I wanted to feel sociable. In other words, I saw alcohol as medicine and that never changed.

There were only a couple of times in my entire drinking career where I drank a got drunk for more than a couple of days in a row. And those times were me drinking for a week solid. But then I’d stop. And I could stay stopped for a month. But put a little stress on me and I was looking for a drink to release the stress. It never occurred to me that stress relief would come via facing what was challenging me.

I cannot say I never drank in the morning, I did. I cannot say I never drove drunk, I did. But most importantly, I cannot say that my drinking only hurt me, it did not. Most importantly, it hurt what should have been healthy relationships, my wife, my daughters in particular.

In the final years, I had so many liquid lunches it was ridiculous! I had one half hour for lunch at work. My half hour started at about 11:30 and ended at 1, regularly. And I was always chasing that “buzz” which left me feeling good. But mostly I blew past the buzz and into another universe.

Finally, on July 3, 1998, I was out and about in Boston with my girlfriend. We started drinking about 11 and continued on. I can remember at the first place we stopped I ordered a beer, it was a hot and humid day, and I told the waitress that as soon as she went back to bring me a second beer because I would definitely be done with the first, and that is exactly what happened.

From there my girlfriend and I wandered down the Boston Esplanade to a place where we lay down in the grass and just took everything in. I actually sobered up. But when I got up I felt light headed. And when I started to walk, I found breathing a bit difficult. My girlfriend looked at me and told me that I literally looked gray. She thought it best we call an ambulance but I objected, saying that the Massachusetts General Hospital was so close that I could easily get there. Well, that meant I had to climb and cross this foot bridge over a busy thoroughfare to the hospital. It took all the will-power I could muster to make it over that bridge and then fall into the emergency room. It took the doctors fewer than 3 minutes to diagnose me with having a heart attack.

A doctor a little later came by me and said, “you have to stop drinking and drugging.” To which I replied, “but I don’t drink!” Alcoholics are really smart people who while drinking say incredibly dumb things. And there I was, instead of denying the drugs, which would have been the truth, I picked alcohol, which was the problem. It never occurred to me that this trained observer, this physician actually knew what he was seeing and talking about.

It wasn’t until later October that I found my way to Alcoholics Anonymous and had my last drink. I put my sober date at November 1, 1998 because I had no faith in myself that I could remember something like October 23 which was probably the last day.

But I was still not an alcoholic, in my mind. I went to meetings because they promised to make my life better if I would stay away from a drink a day at a time. I figured that was a fair trade and also, I was desperate. Even more, where step 2 of the 12 steps refers to a return to sanity, I knew I was crazy and if this 12-step program could stop the crazy in me, I was all in. And it actually took me a few years before I realized that I was truly an alcoholic.

Today, 21 years and 4 months later, my life is really good. I could still argue that I am not an alcoholic but to what end? The kindness, the wisdom, the friendship I found in all those meeting I went to are second only to the birth of my daughters. And without the meetings, saying I was still alive, it is doubtful I would have any of my daughters in my life today, or anyone else for that matter.

My story illustrates that you do not have to drink everyday to be an alcoholic. If you drink to be sociable, because otherwise you cannot, you might think about it. If you find yourself getting blackout drunk, you might want to think about it. If you find yourself waking up in strange places with no idea of how you got there, you might want to think about. If you think you are too young to be an alcoholic, think again. Were that true there would not be alcoholics anonymous meeting meant for young people, teenagers are regularly sighted at such meetings. And if what I have offered about is not enough,

If you are reading this and wondering if you are an alcoholic do this: make a vow to yourself that you will not drink for 90 consecutive days and that for each of those 90 days you will find an A.A. meeting, attend it, raise your hand a tell people what’s going on with you, and stay after the meeting to talk to members of the meeting. I promise you this, you will not regret it.

If you remain unconvinced, take a minute to take the test below which was developed by Johns Hopkins University.

20-Question Addiction Questionnaire John Hopkins
Johns Hopkins University developed the following self-test for identifying alcoholism and addiction. Please answer the questions as honestly as possible.

1. Do you lose time from work due to drinking or drug use?
2. Is drinking or drug use making your home life unhappy?
3. Do you drink or use drugs because you are shy with other people?
4. Is drinking or drug use affecting your reputation?
5. Have you ever felt remorse after drinking or drug use?
6. Have you gotten into financial difficulties as a result of your drinking or drug use?
7. Do you turn to lower companions and an inferior environment when drinking or using drugs?
8. Does your drinking or drug use make you careless of your family’s welfare?
9. Has your ambition decreased since drinking or using drugs?
10. Do you crave a drink or a drug at a definite time daily?
11. Do you want a drink or drug the next morning?
12. Does your drinking or drug use cause you to have difficulties in sleeping?
13. Has your efficiency decreased since drinking or using drugs?
14. Is your drinking or drug use jeopardizing your job or business?
15. Do you drink or use drugs to escape from worries or troubles?
16. Do you drink or use drugs alone?
17. Have you ever had a complete loss of memory?
18. Has your physician ever treated you for drinking or drug use?
19. Do you drink or use drugs to build your self-confidence?
20. Have you ever been in a hospital or institution on account of drinking or drug use?

If you answered “yes” to 3 questions, it suggests you probably have a drinking or drug problem.
If you answered “yes” to 4-7 questions, it suggests you may be in an early stage of alcoholism or drug addiction.
If you answered “yes” to 7-10 questions, it suggests you may be in the second stage of alcoholism or drug addiction.
If you answered “yes” to more than 10 questions, it suggests you may be in end-stage alcoholism or drug addiction.

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Coronavirus and American Hysteria

It is a quiet Saturday morning. My wife got out of the house at 6AM to hit the grocery stores before the crowds did. She reported that paper products, meat, and cleaning products were totally absent. We laugh about it because there is just the two of us and we feel we’ll do just fine, even if one of us gets the virus.

Now for me getting the virus is, according to the CDC and NIH, a reason for great concern. I am 71 and have heart disease. I am in their “high risk” group. But why am I laughing about all this?

To start with, I am in excellent health. A recent stress test of my heart showed it to be in excellent shape. I survived chicken pox, measles and mumps. Remember, the was no vaccine for those diseases in the 1950s when I got them as a child. The only thing we got, twice, was the vaccine for polio.

In the US Army in 1969, I was stationed in Korea, north of Seoul, in what was an active war zone. At one point we were two hours from a large scale war breaking out. Did this immunize me to certain fears? Maybe.

The CDC estimates that about 50,000 people each year die from the flu or flu-like diseases. I would read into that that they get pneumonia. And there we are. Top doctors have told us that people over 60 being in the high risk group is no different than any flu season. The exact same rules apply. I got my flu shot last fall and got the flu anyway. Medicine is an extremely non-exact science. Much of it is best educated guess.

According to the U.S. Census bureau about 40 million Americans are over 60 years of age. And that is out of about 320 million Americans or about 12.5% of the total population. What all this means is the 40 million Americans over 60 plus those under 60 with what is referred to as “underlying health conditions” need truly to be worried.

The CDC has said that the high end projection of those Americans who could get the virus is about 50% of the total population. But that is just a guesstimate. The reality is that they just don’t know. And it is that “don’t know” portion of the equation that, I believe, has so many Americans in a tizzy.

It is projected that the high end mortality rate will be about 2% of those who contract the virus. But that’s about the same rate as with the annual flu. My wife and I discussed how we stand right now if both of us were to contract the virus and we believe we have enough food and other items to see it through. We have not done any special shopping, no extra sanitizers, no stockpile of toilet paper and paper towels, nothing out of the usual.

What Americans are not doing to sitting down and figuring out just how much toilet paper and towels they use on a daily basis. I believe had they done this, the run on such articles would have been much smaller. Where food is concerned, people can easily make soups and other freezable items that would take them through two weeks. My point being that a little prior planning would greatly reduce this panic buying that is presently going on.

It is my belief that this virus will peak sometime about mid-April in the U.S. and that it will not be anything close to what happened in China. Yes, this disease spreads almost unnervingly easily but we all already have the best protection against it, our immune systems.

American Education: Not For All Americans

After retiring from a nearly 40 year career in engineering and discovering how boring retirement can be, I decided to become a substitute teacher. From the very beginning I worked in an inner city school whose population is roughly 80% non-white. The kids were great and, even with a large number being declared “English Language Learners,” they were bright, conscientious and basically good kids.

From that school I went to an upper middle class town’s middle school, an education in contrasts for me. But earlier this year I returned to the school district where I started.

My wife is the bursar at one of Boston’s colleges and so we each have a lot of experience in education. This morning, a Sunday, while reading the newspapers, the Boston Globe and New York Times, the plight of the poor was brought to light in both newspapers. Simply put, too many of our schools are profiling schools to weed out the “undesirables,” or are pricing themselves out of a family’s ability to pay for education.

In the public sector of Massachusetts education there are three forces at work: 1) general public education, 2) charter schools and 3) vocational-technical high schools. The charter schools, according to the Massachusetts Department of Education, offer an alternative education for high performing student. The most notable problem with this system is that its funding comes from the same pool of money the city or town gets for its educational programs. Such schools can syphon off a disproportionate amount of money. That is, the per student cost of the charter school can be higher than then rest of the schools in the system.

Finally there are the vocational-technical high schools. At one time these schools were a haven for student who did not excel under the general educational model but who could do well in an atmosphere where they received training for a well-paying vocation. But because of their excellence the demand for seats in these schools has risen greatly allowing the schools to cherry pick who they would admit. In one case, highlighted in the March 8 Boston Globe, a girl was denied admission because of a single incident of fighting years before. Today she has a GED and no real hopes.

I have learned over many years that an entirely unique situation is rare. That said, it is reasonable to assume that most, if not all, Massachusetts Vocational Technical schools are cherry picking their students. That needs to change. The obvious answer, though an expensive one, is to increase the number of seats available. But there is another way which costs nothing: needs based. That is, children who come from the poorest families are admitted first.

Next is the higher educational schools. Recent trends from the Federal Government combined with rising costs of education, have priced out highly qualified candidates for college because they come from very poor families. It is rare that all college expenses are covered by scholarships. The only remaining “free” money is from the Pell Grant which amounts to about $6,000 based on needs. When you consider the average four year college education can cost $250 thousand or more, that a person carries more than $100 thousand in debt upon graduation is not unusual. That amount of debt can cost a person $800 a month in payments, which for those occupying entry level positions, can be overwhelming.

The United States trails many countries in its approach to financing education. One solution is to increase the Pell Grant maximum to the average cost of tuition and board on a prorated needs based metric.

We are the richest nation in the world so why do we trail so much of the world in our educational approach? We must re-evaluate our priority and come to terms with the long known fact that the solution to poverty is education.